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Housing market in Welsh town shows wider woes
BRITAINHOUSINGWOES 6430944
A member of the public gestures as he looks in the window of Whitegates Estate Agents, Wrexham, Wales, Thursday June 26, 2008. House prices in Wrexham fell 5.4 percent in the year to May after recording the steepest drop anywhere in the country in April, according to the Land Registry, with an average price of 143,460 pounds (around $287,000). With falling house prices, rising rents and more expensive mortgages coming on top of soaring fuel and food costs, there is a feeling that Prime Minister Gordon Brown's Labour government moved too slowly to ease the fallout from the U.S. subprime market collapse. - photo by Associated Press
    WREXHAM, Wales — During a bustling lunch hour in this Welsh commuter town, 25-year-old Richard Williams is one of the few who pause to look at properties for sale in a real-estate agent’s window — and he isn’t buying.
    ‘‘I’d love to, but I’m single and I can’t afford to buy anything on my own, nobody would give me a mortgage,’’ explained Williams, a delivery driver who has just moved back home with his parents after his rent went up.
    The plight of Williams — and hundreds more like him — has made Wrexham, located on the doorstep of the mountain peaks of the stunning Snowdonia National Park, one of the towns hardest hit by the global credit squeeze.
    Those troubles are now increasingly seen as a microcosm of the situation around Britain. With falling house prices, rising rents and more expensive mortgages coming on top of soaring fuel and food costs, there is a feeling that Prime Minister Gordon Brown’s Labour government moved too slowly to ease the fallout from the U.S. subprime market collapse.
    At the start of the decade, Wrexham — the largest town in north Wales, with a population of around 43,000 — boasted some of the steepest house price increases in Britain. The long boom fueled a regeneration of the town, which is just a short ride from the cities of Chester and Manchester in England.
    Hundreds of new homes went up on the outskirts of Wrexham, adding contemporary buildings to the mix of modern shopping streets, Tudor-style buildings and the medieval church in the center of town, which has a long history of mining, brewing and leather tanning.
    Now, many of those completed apartments and houses still await sale, developers have scaled back housing projects, repossessions are up, and the half dozen or so real estate offices are empty of prospective customers.
    House prices in Wrexham fell 5.4 percent in the year to May after recording the steepest drop anywhere in the country in April, according to the Land Registry, with an average price of 143,460 pounds (around $287,000).
    That compares with a 1.8 percent decline across Britain over the same period to an average 183,266 pounds (about $366,000). Mortgage approvals are down 64 percent nationally from last year.
    Britain’s housing downturn is still less severe than the slump in the United States, where home prices nationwide have fallen nearly 18 percent since the peak of the market in July 2006, according to the Standard & Poor’s/Case-Shiller 20-city index. In some of the hardest-hit areas like Las Vegas and Miami, prices have dropped nearly 30 percent from their highs.
    The problem in Wrexham is the sudden cutoff of mortgage credit to first-time buyers, who would normally benefit from lower prices.
    Britain’s housing market is based on a chain system, meaning sellers must wait for their purchasers to complete the sale of their own property. It’s a house of cards that collapses if one deal falls through, making first-time buyers the key because they don’t rely on the completion of another deal.
    At the Whitegates real estate agency in Wrexham, proprietor Irene Jones said first-time buyers were caught unawares as many generous mortgage deals — including 100 percent financing — were suddenly pulled from the market after the collapse of now-nationalized mortgage lender Northern Rock PLC.
    The loss of those first-time buyers has already had a secondary effect on mid-range sales and will eventually permeate the higher end of the market, Jones added.
    ‘‘It’s a huge problem,’’ Jones said. ‘‘Unless you have got the key to start the engine, it isn’t going to go, is it?’’
    Wrexham’s real estate agents’ windows are still filled with ads trumpeting good deals for first-time buyers and those with a poor credit history, while developers are offering knockdown deals on newly built homes to try stem the spreading problem.
    However, Jones said sales volumes at her business were down 30 percent since last year, while sales values were off 18 percent and instructions to sell had dropped 44 percent. Only offers were up — some 22 percent — which Jones attributed to people making ‘‘silly offers’’ in the hope of getting a cheap deal.
    Derwyn Roberts, a retired woodworker and harp restorer, cannot sell his two-flat property just a short stroll from the main shopping street, despite dropping his asking price from 275,000 pounds to 249,000 pounds (from around $549,700 to about $498,000).
    Roberts accepted one offer for less than that several months ago, only to see the buyer pull out, forcing the 80-year-old to drop his own offer on a smaller apartment a few streets away.
    ‘‘It means I’ll have to wait for my retirement proper,’’ said Roberts, who is now considering renting out the downstairs apartment in his house.
    Across the road from Roberts, a 22-unit development of townhouses has been scaled down to 16, around half of which still display ‘‘for sale’’ signs by their curtainless windows.
    While the problem may have been imported from the United States, there is a feeling in Wrexham that the government was too sluggish in tackling the crisis after the collapse of the U.S. subprime mortgage market.
    ‘‘Wrexham won’t be voting for Gordon Brown,’’ said Wendy Evans, a homemaker, after finishing her weekly shopping at a grocer in the town, which has traditionally voted for the Labour Party now in government. Williams, the driver living back with his parents, said he was considering supporting the main opposition Conservative Party to give Labour ‘‘a kick in the teeth.’’
    With many people caught by surprise by the housing downturn — Jones says she still gets first-time buyers coming in assuming they can get 100 percent financing — the fallout has been devastating for some.
    Linda Pytches, a debt counselor with Christians Against Poverty in Wrexham, said she has seen an increase in business in the past few months as more people struggle to pay their mortgages.
    ‘‘It’s landlords as well who have overstretched,’’ Pytches said.
    What is worrying many people in Wrexham is the uncertainty about how far the market still could fall. Many economists are still shying away from predicting an all-out housing market crash in Britain — citing higher employment and more benign economic conditions compared to the last crash in the early 1990s — but most have dramatically downgraded their forecasts.
    Among the most pessimistic, Halifax Bank of Scotland is predicting a 9 percent slide in house prices this year, Capital Economics forecasts a 10 percent drop, Global Insight is estimating a 12 percent slump and the Council of Mortgage Lenders sees a 7 percent decline.
    ‘‘We continue to see the supply of funding to mortgage lenders, and hence to borrowers, as the fundamental issue constraining the housing market,’’ said CML spokeswoman Sue Anderson, revising the group’s New Year prediction of a 1 percent rise.
    Regardless, it’s clear that Britons won’t be returning to the boom times when many remortgaged their homes to fund vacations and other luxuries.
    ‘‘We have had it too good for too long and we haven’t put any money away for a rainy day,’’ Jones said. ‘‘Now it’s thundering.’’

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